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SCP-7858 Pending ? low confidence
Where's Matthew
Expected annual
$8.8M
One-time setup
$2.7M
Annual recurring
$8.6M
Personnel
30
Estimated one-time setup costs are roughly $2,665,000 driven by facility hardening, compute/evidence equipment, and initial software/research setup. Annual recurring costs are approximately $8,553,600, driven primarily by staff wages, cloud processing/data access, legal/cover operations, and a contingency reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.7M
Equipment $1.1M
[#3, #5, #6, #15] On-prem compute/GPU cluster hardware, secure data storage hardware/WORM setup, forensic workstations/mobile extraction tools, and vehicle purchases (one-time capital purchases).
Facilities $800K
[#7, #23] Faraday/anti-memetic containment room construction and emergency/quarantine suite setup (one-time build/hardening costs).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $500K
[#1] Algorithm design, development and delivery (pattern detection, anti-memetic heuristics, tooling, auditing) as initial research/software buildout (one-time).
Case Am-0447 Initial Containment $150K
[#30] AM-0447 triage: initial investigations, device seizures/forensics and short-term containment costs (one-time case-specific triage funding).
Training Sop Development $75K
[#12] One-time development of SOPs, training curricula and initial anti-memetic / secure-forensics training materials.
Psychological Screening Initial $20K
[#10] Initial psychiatric/psychological clearance for assigned staff (one-time baseline screening for ~30 staff).
Medical Initial Stock $20K
[#20] Initial stock and protocol development for amnestic/clinical supplies (one-time).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.6M/yr
Staff Wages $4.2M/yr
[#8, #9, #11] Core payroll for researchers, ML/data engineers, software/devops, field agents/guards, and hazard-pay (category 3-M) premiums included in annual salaries + benefits.
Contingency And Escalation Reserve $1.4M/yr
[#28] Escalation reserve (20% of baseline annual operating budget) to respond to anti-memetic escalation, large legal/PR remediation, or rapid scale-up.
Research And Monitoring $958K/yr
[#1, #4, #16, #21, #22, #27] Algorithm maintenance and improvements, continuous cloud processing/burst capacity, secure communications/threat-intel subscriptions, controlled experimentation budgets, long-term PoI monitoring subscriptions, and OPSEC/pen-test audits.
Cover Story And Legal $640K/yr
[#17, #18, #19, #24, #25] Legal retainers/cover-up budgets, forensic accounting/financial remediation, identity/records modification budgets (ad-hoc remediation), PR/media management and insurance/audit/compliance reserves.
Data Acquisition And Access $400K/yr
[#2] Annual costs for legal access, data acquisitions, liaison retainers with carriers/platforms, warrants and covert data retrieval contracts.
Facilities Maintenance $300K/yr
[#3, #5, #26] Ongoing maintenance, hardware support for on-prem compute, storage maintenance and electricity/cooling/utilities for high-density racks and containment spaces.
Administrative Overhead $300K/yr
[#29] Rent/HR/IT/helpdesk/janitorial/office admin and general overhead for the program.
Psychological Monitoring $100K/yr
[#10] Ongoing psychological follow-ups, counseling, emergency interventions and monitoring for assigned staff.
Logistics And Transport $70K/yr
[#13, #14, #15] Field investigation travel and per-PoI investigation costs, secure device transport and courier costs, and vehicle fuel/maintenance for field fleet.
Rapid Deploy Contingency For Deployments $50K/yr
[#23] Standby recurring fund for rapid-deploy quarantine teams and per-deployment readiness (annual standby).
Supplies And Consumables $40K/yr
[#6, #20] Forensic consumables, evidence handling disposables and recurring medical/amnestic per-use supplies.
Am-0447 Followup Monitoring $40K/yr
[#30] Recurring follow-up monitoring and case-specific surveillance costs for AM-0447 PoIs.
Training Refreshers $30K/yr
[#12] Annual refresher training, drills, and SOP updates for anti-memetic/forensic procedures.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.6M/yr
81.0% probability / year
Normal year of operations with routine investigations, no major incidents.
routine_flagged_events no_major_breach_or_legal_escalation
🚨 Minor Incident $9.1M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized exposure or single-jurisdiction legal/PR incident requiring extra field operations and legal response.
localized_information_leak single_jurisdiction_legal_challenge small_scale_record_remediation
🚨 Major Breach $11.1M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Multi-jurisdiction exposure or anti-memetic escalation requiring extensive records remediation, relocations, and large-scale field operations.
multi-jurisdiction_legal_action large_records_backfill extended_relocations_and_field_ops
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $13.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Widespread anti-memetic event or public exposure requiring mass remediation, major information operations, and multi-year emergency response.
public_exposure mass_records_alteration nationwide_legal/PR_crisis
👥 Personnel 30 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Memetics Researcher 4 Senior memetics/research staff responsible for theory testing and experiments; included in staff_wages [#8].
Data Scientist / ML Engineer 4 Develop and maintain detection/classification algorithms and models; included in staff_wages [#8].
Software Engineer / DevOps 3 Maintain infrastructure, ingestion pipelines, and tooling; included in staff_wages [#8].
Field Technician / Forensics Specialist 4 Device seizure, mobile extraction and chain-of-custody processing; included in staff_wages and forensics consumables [#6, #14].
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 Field and site security, rapid-deploy teams for seizures and containment; included in staff_wages [#9, #15].
Medical Officer / Psychologist 2 Psych screenings, ongoing staff mental-health monitoring and amnestic/clinical procedures; included in staff_wages and psychological monitoring [#10, #20].
Administrative Staff / HR / Legal Liaison 3 Administrative, HR, legal coordination and liaising for data access and cover operations; included in staff_wages and administrative_overhead [#2, #17, #29].
Project Lead / Senior Management 2 Program leadership and liaison to higher command; included in staff_wages [#8].
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on broad analyst ranges and an uncertain, potentially anti-memetic object; many costs (legal cover, data access, contingency needs) are highly variable and scenario-dependent, so confidence is low.
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