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SCP-7859 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7859
Expected annual
$446K
One-time setup
$158K
Annual recurring
$424K
Personnel
0.7
One-time setup costs are modest (~$158k) driven by locker upgrades, equipment, and lab instrumentation; recurring annual costs (~$422k) are dominated by staffing, legal/cover retainer, IT/security, and a large contingency allocation. Incident-driven costs (autopsy/cleanup, MTF deployments, coverups) can add hundreds of thousands per event.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $158K
Equipment $81K
[#2, #6, #9, #13, #17, #14] CCTV/tamper hardware; initial PPE kit; initial medical/trauma equipment; optional secure transport vehicle purchase; initial evidence chain-of-custody materials; IT hardening (one-time component).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $32K
[#18] Laboratory instrumentation for characterization (high-speed cameras, spectral/chemical analysis, secure bench).
Disposition Destruction Contract $22K
[#20] One-time contract/incineration or destruction costs (mid-range estimate).
Facilities $12K
[#1] Reinforced storage locker upgrade (tamper-proof evidence cabinet).
Training And Sop Development $6K
[#5] Two-person/two-step access SOP writing and initial training creation.
Access Control Integration $5K
[#3] Badge/biometric control integration and one-time system integration costs.
Signage And Communications $1K
[#7] Prohibition-of-card-games signage and site-wide communications materials.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $424K/yr
Contingency Reserve Allocation $250K/yr
[#19] Annual allocation toward contingency reserve for multi-victim events/large investigations (lower-bound allocation).
Cover Story And Legal $120K/yr
[#15, #16] Cover-up / public-relations contingency retainer (~$100k/yr) + legal/compliance retainer (~$20k/yr).
Staff Wages $43K/yr
[#4] 0.2 FTE Level-3 researcher (~$18k/yr) + 0.5 FTE security officer (~$25k/yr).
It Security And Audit $5K/yr
[#14] Ongoing IT/data security maintenance, audits, and redaction processes.
Training Refreshers $2K/yr
[#5] Annual refresher training and compliance testing for two-person access policy.
Policy Audits And Compliance $2K/yr
[#7] Periodic audits to ensure prohibition-of-card-games compliance.
Video Storage And Recorder Maintenance $1K/yr
[#2] CCTV local recorder storage and maintenance (90-day retention upkeep).
Access Control Software Updates $800/yr
[#3] Annual software updates and licensing for badge/biometric audit integration.
Supplies And Consumables $500/yr
[#6, #17] PPE replacement (~$200/yr) and evidence consumables (~$300/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
Research And Monitoring $0/yr
[#8] Controlled-experiment budget is per-test (range $20k–$100k); baseline assumes no scheduled lethal human tests.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
Controlled Experiment Per Test $0/yr
[#8] Per-test controlled experiment cost range $20,000–$100,000 (costs applied in incident scenarios; baseline assumes 0 tests/year).
Medical Standby Per Deployment $0/yr
[#9] Medical standby staffing/deployment cost per event: $2,000–$8,000 (applied in incident scenarios).
Forensic Autopsy And Cleanup Per Incident $0/yr
[#10] Forensic autopsy + biohazard cleanup per fatality/incident: $5,000–$20,000 (applied per incident).
Body Handling Per Incident $0/yr
[#11] Body handling, storage & disposition per fatality: $2,000–$10,000 (applied per incident).
Rapid Response Deployment Per Event $0/yr
[#12] Containment-breach rapid-response (MTF) per deployment: $10,000–$60,000 (applied per deployment).
Secure Transfer Per Event $0/yr
[#13] Secure transport per transfer: $1,200–$6,000 (applied per transfer).
Coverup Per Incident $0/yr
[#15] Per-incident cover-up/public-relations cost range: $50,000–$300,000 (applied in incident scenarios).
Legal Per Incident $0/yr
[#16] Per-incident external/legal expense range: $10,000–$75,000 (applied in incident scenarios).
Disposition Per Destruction $0/yr
[#20] Per-destruction recurring cost if/when destruction is executed (contract fees); one-time destruction contract captured in one-time costs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $424K/yr
93.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents: routine monitoring, maintenance, staffing, IT and contingency allocations only.
no incidents routine operations only
🚨 Minor Incident $698K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$274K vs baseline
Single-site incident/fatality requiring medical standby, one autopsy/cleanup, body handling, a small rapid-response deployment and limited coverup/legal work.
single fatality limited MTF deployment local forensic response
🚨 Major Breach $1.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$598K vs baseline
Multi-victim breach or large-scale unauthorized use (object used outside containment), requiring multiple autopsies, large MTF deployments, and high-end coverup/legal response.
multi-fatality event extended MTF/search operations major coverup effort
🚨 Catastrophic Exposure $897K/yr
0.5% probability / year +$474K vs baseline
Significant public exposure or leak demanding extensive cover operations, legal settlements, and long-term remediation.
public leak large-scale legal/PR crisis civil settlements/relocation
👥 Personnel 0.7 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 0.2 [#4] 0.2 FTE Level-3 researcher assigned for oversight/documentation (~$18k/yr).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 0.5 [#4] 0.5 FTE security officer for monitoring/entry control (~$25k/yr).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide line-item ranges and clear drivers, enabling a mid-range baseline estimate. Uncertainty remains high for incident-driven items (wide per-incident ranges, uncertain incident frequency) and for discretionary decisions (purchase of vehicle, size of contingency fund), so confidence is medium.
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