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SCP-8020 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-8020
Expected annual
$4.4M
One-time setup
$35.1M
Annual recurring
$4.0M
Personnel
30
Total one-time capital costs are dominated by an optional full-excavation program, producing a multi‑million dollar capital requirement; baseline annual operating costs are driven primarily by research staffing, security, facilities maintenance and replacement reserves. A conservative baseline year requires low‑to‑mid millions per year, with rare breach or excavation scenarios adding large incremental costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $35.1M
Full Excavation $27.5M
[#30] Full-excavation & full-containment worst-case multi-year mobilization and capital program estimated at $27,500,000 (scope-dependent).
Facilities $2.8M
[#1, #2, #3] Perimeter upgrades ($300,000), de-watering and waterproofing installation ($225,000), and structural stabilization/shoring ($2,250,000) for tunnels and chambers.
Equipment $2.8M
[#4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #10, #11, #24, #25] Robotic excavation purchase ($850,000), high-resolution mapping & survey ($160,000), 12 climate-controlled chests + installation ($400,000), weapon-locker upgrade ($175,000), environmental sensor installation ($87,500), analytical instrumentation purchase ($700,000), specialized cutting/robotic end-effectors ($110,000), sample/LN2 storage systems ($110,000), IT/data security setup ($175,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $875K
[#9] Dedicated containment laboratory and conservation suite build-out (ASL-23 upgrades, negative-pressure rooms, gloveboxes, fume hoods) estimated at $875,000.
Emergency Reserve $600K
[#22] Emergency/contingency reserve seed fund (rapid-deployment trailers, temporary shielding) estimated at $600,000.
Catalog Backlog $350K
[#18] One-time ramp to clear cataloging/archival backlog estimated at $350,000.
Medical Incident Reserve $125K
[#15] Dedicated incident-response medical reserve (chelation, higher-cost incident response) estimated at $125,000.
Permitting And Assessments $60K
[#27] Environmental impact assessments and permitting initial costs estimated at $60,000.
Transport Mobilization $55K
[#21] Heavy-lift/crane mobilization and one-time logistics mobilization estimated at $55,000.
Ppe And Decon $30K
[#14] Initial PPE, decontamination suite equipment and setup estimated at $30,000.
Security Training $12K
[#16] Initial hazmat/certification training for security staff (approx. $1,250/person × ~10).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.0M/yr
Research And Monitoring $1.7M/yr
[#9, #10, #5, #8, #24, #26, #19] Long-term research program funding (archaeology/metallurgy/etc.) $1,250,000/yr; lab operational costs $125,000/yr; analytical per-sample & contracted testing budget $175,000/yr; environmental monitoring calibration $15,000/yr; sample-storage maintenance $27,500/yr; specialist consultancies pooled into research budget $125,000/yr.
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#16, #19, #25] Security staffing (8–12 guards fully loaded; baseline estimate $660,000), plus engineers/maintenance/IT/admin salaries (~$400,000) for ongoing operations.
Facilities Maintenance $288K/yr
[#2, #6, #7, #23] Pump power and pump replacement parts ($35,000), climate‑chest running costs ($72,000), weapon-locker maintenance ($5,500), and energy for 24/7 climate control ($175,000).
Class D Management $250K/yr
[#17, #12] Class-D housing, supervision, turnover and facility overhead estimated at $250,000/yr.
Replacement Reserve $200K/yr
[#28] Replacement/depreciation reserve for containment hardware (5–15% of capital) estimated at $200,000/yr.
Cover Story And Legal $125K/yr
[#20] Legal retainers, PR, FOIA response and local government relations retainer estimated at $125,000/yr.
Emergency Readiness $100K/yr
[#22] Annual readiness/resupply of rapid-response assets and training estimated at $100,000/yr.
Supplies And Consumables $74K/yr
[#11, #12, #14] Consumables for specialized cutting and robotic end-effectors ($27,500), routine shearing operations consumables and per-session costs (monthly → $21,000/yr), and PPE replacements/decon consumables ($25,000).
It Maintenance $45K/yr
[#25] IT, data security, secure backups and maintenance estimated at $45,000/yr.
Hazardous Waste Handling $42K/yr
[#13] Hazardous/biohazard waste handling and certified disposal contractors estimated at $42,500/yr.
Logistics And Transport $40K/yr
[#21] Recurring transport and heavy-lift logistics per typical major transfers and secure transport estimated at $40,000/yr.
Regulatory Compliance $35K/yr
[#27] Ongoing environmental permitting, compliance and regulatory/legal fees estimated at $35,000/yr.
Psychological Support $30K/yr
[#29] Psychological support and cognitive-hazard mitigation programs estimated at $30,000/yr.
Medical Surveillance $10K/yr
[#15] Routine medical surveillance and toxicology screening for staff (~$150–$500/person/yr; core-team midpoint used).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.0M/yr
84.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents: ongoing operations, routine research and maintenance at baseline staffing and contracts.
routine_operations scheduled_research no_breach
🚨 Minor Incident $4.5M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized containment incident or equipment failure requiring repairs, temporary overtime, and limited replacement of capital.
localized_breach equipment_failure seasonal_flooding
🚨 Major Breach $9.0M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Facility-level containment breach cascade with MTF mobilization, mass equipment loss, casualty response and major repairs.
sabotage memetic_audio_hazard cascade_containment_failures
🚨 Full Excavation $34.0M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$30.0M vs baseline
Leadership authorizes full excavation, stabilization and cataloging program for entire catacomb system (multi-year capital program in year-of-expenditure).
executive_decision strategic_reclassification loss_of_veil_risk
👥 Personnel 30 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 10 [#16, #12] Dedicated security shifts for containment and shearing oversight; 8–12 guards estimated (used 10).
Research Scientist 12 [#9, #10, #19, #26] PI-level researchers, postdocs and lab technicians to staff containment lab and long-term research program.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#3, #4, #2, #25] Civil/structural engineers and robotics/IT maintenance personnel for stabilization, robotics and pumps.
Administrative Staff 2 [#20, #18] Admin/curatorial staff for cataloging backlog, permits and cover-story administration.
Medical Officer 1 [#15, #29] Occupational health liaison for medical surveillance, toxicology screening and psychological support.
Class-D Personnel 1 [#12, #17] On-rotation Class-D used for routine shearing operations (two D per session; rotation represented as 1 on-site/active at a time in headcount).
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes provide extensive line-item ranges but many items have wide uncertainty (large ranges for structural work, full excavation and recurring research staffing). Reasonable mid-point estimates used; therefore confidence is medium.
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