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SCP-8202 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-8202
Expected annual
$13.7M
One-time setup
$63.9M
Annual recurring
$13.1M
Personnel
79
Initial setup requires substantial capital to build/retrofit a shielded aircraft hangar and associated lab and handling infrastructure (~$64M one-time); the main ongoing costs are staff wages, specialized research operations, continuous security and monitoring (~$13.1M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $63.9M
Facilities $24.5M
[#1, #2, #11] Hangar construction/retrofit and site preparation including land purchase/roads/fencing and HVAC/air-sealing installation; mid-range estimate chosen to reflect custom secured hangar + site work.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $16.9M
[#7, #8, #14, #16] Buildout/upgrade of high-containment bio-lab (BSL-3/4 equivalent) and procurement of major scientific instruments (CT/X-ray/tomography, SEM/TEM access), sample processing & secure cold storage, and materials characterization / prototyping equipment.
Demolition Destruction $10.0M
[#29] Placeholder one-time budget for controlled demolition/remediation if a decision is made to destroy the craft (range-based estimate; highly scenario-dependent).
Equipment $8.3M
[#4, #5, #9, #10, #12, #13, #19, #22, #23, #24] Initial purchase/installation of fixed security systems, robotics & manipulators, heavy lifting equipment, power tie-ins/UPS/generators, PPE kits, data hardware, advanced monitoring sensors, emergency suppression hardware, and initial stabilization materials.
Contingency Fund $3.0M
[#26] Seed contingency / rapid-response R&D fund (one-time capital reserve as recommended).
Cover Company Setup $500K
[#3] One-time establishment costs for front company / airspace coordination setup and initial legal/permitting work.
Cover Up Initial $300K
[#21] Initial PR/cover-story infrastructure, media monitoring setup and community outreach seed costs.
Medical And Mortuary Processing $200K
[#18] Initial autopsy/forensic processing and secure mortuary handling for alien remains (per-body costs aggregated into a program-level one-time cost).
Personnel Vetting Initial $100K
[#27] Initial deep-background vetting, polygraph program setup and onboarding security-clearance costs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $13.1M/yr
Staff Wages $6.8M/yr
[#4, #6, #30] Security staffing (24–36 guards + supervisors) and multidisciplinary scientific staff salaries plus program management and administrative personnel (annual salary & benefits).
Research And Monitoring $2.1M/yr
[#8, #9, #15, #16, #19, #22] Ongoing costs for instrument calibration, robotics maintenance, forensic/omics analyses, materials R&D experiments, data hosting/HPC support, and continuous advanced monitoring/analysis.
Bsl Operations $1.0M/yr
[#7] Ongoing operating costs for BSL-3/4-equivalent lab: PPE, waste handling, specialized staffing and consumables.
Cover Story And Legal $825K/yr
[#3, #20, #21] Ongoing front-company/airspace fees, legal counsel, liaison and covert community / PR operations and leak management.
Supplies And Consumables $550K/yr
[#13, #14, #28] PPE consumables & replacements, LN2 / cold-chain running costs, and shop/workshop consumables and spare parts.
Facilities Maintenance $500K/yr
[#1, #2, #11] Annual maintenance of hangar/site, HVAC upkeep, structural inspections and utilities for the containment facility.
Emergency Response $400K/yr
[#23] On-call hazmat/medical teams, training, non-water suppression agents upkeep and evacuation readiness.
Fixed Security Maintenance $250K/yr
[#5] Maintenance, monitoring contracts and spare parts for CCTV, thermal cameras, intrusion detection and alarm center.
Logistics And Transport $150K/yr
[#10, #25] Annualized permits, escorts and moving costs for periodic offsite transfers and heavy lifts (per-move costs averaged over expected operations).
Power Infrastructure $150K/yr
[#12] Fuel contracts, generator maintenance and UPS service to support continuous power loads.
Waste Disposal $150K/yr
[#17] Hazardous/biological waste removal, autoclave/sterilization services and chemical remediation on an ongoing basis.
Structural Preservation $125K/yr
[#24] Periodic inspections, coatings and touch-ups to prevent corrosion and preserve the craft for study.
Personnel Vetting $100K/yr
[#27] Ongoing background rechecks, polygraphs, and psychological monitoring to mitigate insider risk.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $13.1M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents beyond planned research and maintenance.
routine research operations regular security/maintenance cycles
🚨 Minor Incident $13.6M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure, small containment breach requiring repair/limited investigation and PR response.
small breach or intrusion equipment failure needing replacement
🚨 Major Breach $18.1M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or security compromise causing damage, loss of research progress and public exposure requiring extensive remediation.
large-scale breach public/agency exposure destructive access to sealed chambers
🚨 Demolition Decision $33.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Decision or requirement to destroy SCP-8202 and perform full hazardous-materials remediation and public fallout management.
policy decision to destroy catastrophic hazard discovered
👥 Personnel 79 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 30 [#4] 24–36 guards estimated for 24/7 coverage; mid-range staffing assumed.
Security Supervisor / Shift Commander 4 [#4] Supervisory staff to manage multiple shifts and incident response.
Research Scientist 25 [#6, #16] Xenobiologists, materials scientists, aerospace engineers, physicists; core scientific FTEs.
Research Technician / Lab Tech 10 [#6, #14, #8] Technicians for sample processing, imaging support and robotics operation.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#10, #12, #11] Facility, power and heavy-equipment engineers for cranes, generators and HVAC.
Medical Officer / Pathologist 2 [#7, #18] Staff to handle xenopathology, autopsies and medical containment.
Administrative Staff 3 [#3, #21, #30] Procurement, accounting, program support and front-company administration.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#30] Program director / site lead managing operations and interagency coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges but many estimates are wide and scenario-dependent (e.g., hangar type, level of in-house instrumentation, demolition choice). Mid-range values were chosen where ranges existed; uncertainty remains for one-off decisions and classified interagency costs.
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