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SCP-8203 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-8203
Expected annual
$5.1M
One-time setup
$11.9M
Annual recurring
$4.9M
Personnel
28
Initial setup is dominated by a conditional deep-sea investigation contingency; baseline one-time setup ~ $11.9M (mostly the contingency) with ongoing annual operations ~ $4.87M driven by personnel, maritime operations, legal/PR, and monitoring infrastructure.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $11.9M
Deep Sea Investigation Contingency $10.0M
[#23] Contingency for an attempted deep-sea investigation / specialized submersible/vessel time (exceptional, mission-level expense).
Equipment $1.2M
[#3, #4, #5, #8, #13, #21, #22, #28, #31] Vehicles, drones, fixed/portable cameras, comms hardware, barricade cache, patrol boats, initial buoys, IT hardening, and program-setup equipment.
Facilities $275K
[#19, #30, #31] Tactical field-base outfitting, site decommissioning costs, and a portion of program setup/outfitting.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K
[#7, #16] Analytics software/custom models and initial field-sciences kit (LIDAR/thermal/EM instruments).
Legal Major Event $200K
[#10] One-off complex legal/litigation action or large covert settlement/tasking referenced as possible in notes.
Training Development $40K
[#24] One-time development of psychological-operations and non-engagement training courses.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.9M/yr
Staff Wages $2.2M/yr
[#1, #2, #9, #15] Field surveillance agents, local security/traffic-control guards, cultural/municipal liaison officers, and research staff salaries.
Incident Response Reserve $974K/yr
[#26] Reserve fund (recommended 20–30% of program operating budget) for escalation, replacement, or major emergencies.
Research And Monitoring $600K/yr
[#4, #5, #6, #7, #16, #17, #18, #22, #24] Drone/helicopter ops, camera/cloud storage, satellite imagery subscription, compute/storage and analytics support, calibration/consumables, forensics, archival research, buoy maintenance, and refresher training.
Cover Story And Legal $565K/yr
[#10, #11, #12, #25, #27, #29] Ongoing legal counsel, PR/media management, municipal compensation/goodwill, seasonal/business compensation, insurance for front companies/contractors, and cultural preservation/outreach grants.
Logistics And Transport $295K/yr
[#3, #8, #20, #21] Vehicle fleet operations (fuel/maintenance), communications data plans, generators/fuel, and boat crewing/ops.
It Security And Counter Surveillance $90K/yr
[#28] Ongoing penetration testing, threat-hunting, counter-surveillance, and IT security operations.
Supplies And Consumables $70K/yr
[#13, #14] Rental/pop-up barricade deployments and EMS/counseling contracts / consumables.
Facilities Maintenance $48K/yr
[#19] Lease and ongoing maintenance/utility costs for the temporary field base / observation post.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.9M/yr
71.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, no major incidents or extraordinary missions.
routine_monitoring seasonal_pilgrimage_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $5.1M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized panic or small media exposure requiring emergency PR, additional legal support, and modest compensation/ops.
localized_panic small_media_exposure temporary_road_closures
🚨 Major Breach $6.4M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Large public incident or significant media/legal exposure requiring extended operations, heavy PR/legal response, and compensation.
large_media_breach extended_public_unrest major_litigation
🚨 Deep Sea Investigation Attempt $14.9M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Decision/year in which a funded attempt is made to investigate the reported ~15 km disappearance point with specialized assets.
research_scale_up specialized_vessel_mission
👥 Personnel 28 total
Role Count Notes
Field Agent / Observer 9 [#1] Spanish-speaking field surveillance operatives (rotational teams) at ~$120k fully-burdened each.
Security Officer / Local Traffic-Control Guard 14 [#2] Local contracted guards for road closures and traffic control at ~$40k/yr each.
Local Liaison / Cultural Liaison Officer 1 [#9] Spanish/Galician-speaking civic liaison to coordinate permits and municipal relations.
Research Scientist 3 [#15] Parapsychology/anthropology/linguistics researchers studying leaders and procession composition.
Administrative Staff / Site Manager 1 [#31] Small administrative/site-management role to support field operations and contracting.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items and ranges are well-documented for operational costs (personnel, boats, monitoring), but many estimates are wide ranges and the deep-sea contingency is highly uncertain; probabilities and some midpoints are analyst judgments.
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