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SCP-8246 Thaumiel ~ medium confidence
SCP-8246
Expected annual
$1.4M
One-time setup
$354K
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
9.75
Initial one-time capital and integration costs are moderate (~$354k) while recurring annual operations are the primary driver (~$1.36M/yr), dominated by dedicated staffing, contingency/reserve funds, D‑Class testing and research overhead. Major cost drivers: security staffing, research personnel, contingency fund, and recurring testing/consumables.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $354K
Facilities $175K
[#3, #9, #10] Containment-cell dementia-friendly modifications (~$10k), climate-secure storage/vault (~$15k mid), and capital incinerator (mid-range ~$150k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $70K
[#11, #4] Specialized laboratory instruments and incremental research capital (~$65k mid) plus baseline diagnostics/initial medical imaging (~$5k).
Vetting And Clearance One Time $50K
[#18] Initial high-sensitivity vetting/clearance for ~10 personnel (~$5k/person × 10).
Equipment $25K
[#8, #13] RTLS/readers and initial tracking infrastructure (~$10k) + tracking tags/tamper housings (~$5k mid) + dedicated containment/transport box (~$10k).
Sop And Training One Time $18K
[#15] Initial SOP development and staff training (dementia-appropriate interaction, PPE, drills) estimated mid-range ~$17.5k.
Data Integration One Time $10K
[#16] One-time secure database integration and analytics tooling (~$10k).
Textile Conservation One Time $4K
[#17] Initial training/equipment for textile conservation (~$2–5k; mid ~$3.5k).
Buffer Yarn $2K
[#1] One-time procurement of 6–12 month yarn buffer (364 skeins ≈ $2,200).
Obituary And Cover One Time $1K
[#19] One-time cover-story/obituary fabrication and records (~$1k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Staff Wages $617K/yr
[#4, #5, #6, #16] Incremental staffing: 6security guards (~$300k), 1 research scientist ($120k), 1 technician ($60k), clinical psychologist 0.5FTE (~$25k), nurse/caregiver (~$45k), data analyst partial FTE salary portion included in staff wages (~$67k).
Contingency Fund $250K/yr
[#14] Dedicated incident response and contingency reserve (recommended minimum $250k available).
Research And Monitoring $230K/yr
[#6, #7, #11, #12] D-Class testing (~$120k mid), laboratory consumables/assays (~$50k), thaumiel utilization program materials and applied testing (~$50k), plus small research coordination overhead.
Risk Allocation $100K/yr
[#25] Internal liability allocation / cross-departmental cost-sharing reserve (~$50–150k; mid ~$100k).
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#13] Secure transport, escorts, per-transfer costs (~$2k–8k each; mid-range 10 transfers/yr → ~$50k).
Cover Story And Legal $22K/yr
[#19, #22] Ongoing cover maintenance and legal/institutional review (~$2k cover + ~$20k legal/ethics counsel/year).
Training Refresher $15K/yr
[#15] Annual refresher training and drills (~$10–20k/yr; mid ~$15k).
Data Management $12K/yr
[#16] Secure database licensing/hardware and analytics recurring (~$5–15k/yr; salary portion of analyst captured in staff wages).
Enrichment Program $10K/yr
[#24] Psychological/enrichment programming to maintain cooperation (~$5–15k/yr; mid ~$10k).
Autopsy Costs $8K/yr
[#21] D‑Class autopsies and pathology for tests (~$3.6–12k/yr; mid ~$8k).
Medical Care $7K/yr
[#4] Medications and routine diagnostics outside of staff wages (meds ~$3–5k + occasional imaging/tests ~$2–5k; mid ~$7k/yr).
Storage Maintenance $7K/yr
[#9] Climate control energy and database/catalog upkeep for storage (~$1–3k energy + ~$5k DB/hardware → ~$7k/yr).
Miscellaneous Recurring $6K/yr
[#26] Petty capital and unexpected small recurring purchases (~$2–10k/yr; mid ~$6k).
Facilities Maintenance $6K/yr
[#3, #8, #9, #23] Incremental utilities and maintenance: cell utilities (~$200/yr), RTLS/reader upkeep (~$2k/yr), storage climate energy (~$2k/yr), minor utilities (~$1.5k/yr).
Textile Conservation Recurring $5K/yr
[#17] Ongoing textile repair and conservator labor/materials (~$3–7k/yr).
Vetting Recurring $5K/yr
[#18] Annual rechecks and periodic security re-vetting (~$5k/yr).
Disposal Contracts $3K/yr
[#10] Incinerator operating costs if owned or modest contracted disposal; budgeted $2–5k/yr operating/contracting costs (mid ~$3k).
Yarn Supply $2K/yr
[#1] Weekly yarn replenishment (364 skeins/yr × ~$6 ≈ $2,200/yr).
Tracking Maintenance $2K/yr
[#8] RTLS/tag maintenance and tamper alarm upkeep (~$0.5–2k; budgeted $2k/yr).
Procurement Premium $1K/yr
[#20] 10–30% procurement premium on covert sourcing for yarn/supplies (~$500–1.5k; mid ~$1k).
Supplies And Consumables $600/yr
[#2] Needles/hooks, scissors, stitch markers, sterile small craft consumables (~$600 mid-range/year).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine testing, maintenance, and thaumiel production proceed as planned.
no incidents scheduled testing only steady staffing and supplies
🚨 Minor Incident $1.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Limited accidental exposure or harmful garment misuse requiring medical treatment, minor repairs, and additional short-term security/response.
single accidental misuse localized staff exposure small containment breach requiring response
🚨 Major Breach $1.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Serious breach or harmful effect event (multiple injuries, containment failure, or damage to thaumiel items) requiring large-scale medical response, investigations, and replacement/repair.
multi-person exposure damage to multiple SCP-8246-A items extended containment response
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $1.6M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Positive outcome: thaumiel application scaled rapidly for containment programs requiring ramp-up of production, materials, and cross-site logistics.
successful applied thaumiel use cross-site deployment demand rapid production scale-up
👥 Personnel 9.75 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#5] Dedicated incremental assignment (approx. 2/shift coverage; 6 guards budgeted).
Research Scientist 1 [#6] Senior researcher leading studies and coordination.
Technician 1 [#6] Laboratory/technical support for assays and testing.
Clinical Psychologist 0.5 [#6, #4] 0.5 FTE clinical psych support for assessments and cooperation maintenance.
Nurse / Caregiver 0.5 [#4] 0.5 FTE geriatric care to maintain health and cooperation.
Data Analyst 0.75 [#16] 0.5–1.0 FTE data analyst; budgeted as ~0.75 FTE for analytics and logging support.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are mid-range aggregations based on analyst notes with explicit ranges for most line items. Personnel and contingency choices (security staffing, whether roles are reassigned or newly hired, and incinerator ownership) create variance; many line items are well-described but frequency of testing and site-level absorptions are uncertain.
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