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SCP-8323 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-8323
Expected annual
$8.7M
One-time setup
$6.0M
Annual recurring
$8.2M
Personnel
22
Initial containment/setup costs are moderate (~$6.0M) dominated by research/R&D seed funding and facility/equipment buildout; ongoing annual costs are substantial (~$8.2M/yr) driven primarily by personnel (medical, counseling, technicians), sustained research, legal/PR, and surveillance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.0M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.0M
[#21] Initial specialized R&D/dream-interruption development seed (chosen midpoint of small R&D program initial cost).
Contingency Seed Fund $2.0M
[#24] Seed contingency/worst-case response fund (selected conservative seed within $1–10M recommendation).
Facilities $1.1M
[#4, #9, #13] 3-room sleep lab buildout and controlled wakefulness center buildout and small isolation wing (~$275k + $200k + $600k midpoint estimates).
Disability Initial Reserve $500K
[#22] One-time actuarial reserve component for long-term disability/compensation (selected midpoint within suggested cohort reserve).
Equipment $345K
[#5, #6] Initial fleet of portable EEG/wearable devices and initial server/analysis cluster (fleet midpoint ~$220k + servers ~$125k).
Medical Emergency Initial $125K
[#12] Initial readiness costs (training/equipment stockpile) estimated midpoint of $50k–200k.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.2M/yr
Staff Wages $1.7M/yr
[#2, #3, #9, #10, #11] Counseling sessions, psychiatry/medical oversight, supervised center staffing, additional sleep technicians/counselors, and overtime/shift differential aggregated into personnel wage budget.
Research And Monitoring $1.7M/yr
[#4, #6, #7, #8, #21] Sleep-lab operating costs, data analysis/cloud compute, active research program salaries/consumables, neuroimaging access, and ongoing R&D support.
Civilian Countermeasures Subsidies $1.0M/yr
[#17] Subsidies/incentives for non-anomalous countermeasures rolled out to civilians (~10k people midpoint).
Cover Story And Legal $600K/yr
[#14, #15] Legal retainer/cover-up operations and PR/misinformation budgets combined (midpoint aggregation).
Specialized R And D Ongoing $500K/yr
[#21] Ongoing device R&D/engineering support for dream-interruption/neural-interface projects.
Disability Reserve Accrual $500K/yr
[#22] Annual actuarial accrual for long-term disability/compensation liabilities (recurring component).
Opportunity Cost $500K/yr
[#25] Estimated annual opportunity cost from mission creep / redirected resources (midpoint).
Surveillance And Intel $400K/yr
[#16] Targeted monitoring, data purchases, informants, and partnerships to detect civilian manifestations (small-program midpoint).
Medical Emergency Maintenance $300K/yr
[#12] Ongoing cost allocation for dedicated ICU/reserved critical-care capacity and rapid-response readiness (opportunity-cost/maintenance estimate).
Recruitment And Retraining $240K/yr
[#18] Attrition replacement hiring and retraining costs (midpoint estimate for 10–20 replacements/year).
Contingency Replenish $200K/yr
[#24] Annual replenishment target for the contingency/worst-case fund.
Facilities Maintenance $150K/yr
[#4, #13] Ongoing maintenance and utilities for sleep lab rooms and containment/observation wing.
Administrative Overhead $125K/yr
[#19] Case management, records, compliance, and auditing support (midpoint).
Ethical Oversight $100K/yr
[#23] Oversight committees, compliance reviews, and additional training.
Pharmaceuticals $75K/yr
[#1] Institutional stimulant prescriptions for ~100 affected staff (midpoint ~$75k/yr).
Wearable Device Maintenance $30K/yr
[#5] Replacement, sanitization, data fees for portable EEG/wearables (midpoint).
Data Storage And Analysis $30K/yr
[#6] Cloud hosting/maintenance and compute for PSG/video/AI analysis (midpoint).
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#20] Consumables and medical disposables for ~100 patients (estimated midpoint ~$6k/yr total).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.2M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with ongoing containment, treatment, research, surveillance, and administrative operations; no major incidents.
steady caseload among Foundation staff no civilian cluster events routine research progress
🚨 Minor Incident $10.1M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$1.9M vs baseline
Localized adverse event or small civilian exposure requiring scaled PR/legal response, surge surveillance, and limited emergency operations.
single-site civilian identification small cluster of severe cases temporary increase in media attention
🚨 Major Breach $16.2M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or public exposure requiring large-scale emergency response, large legal/compensation payouts, accelerated R&D and contingency fund drawdown.
multiple severe civilian cases high-profile mortality or media leak requirement for mass misinformation/emergency quarantine
👥 Personnel 22 total
Role Count Notes
Counselor 9 [#2, #10] Weekly one-on-one counseling workload and additional counselor hires to cover increased caseload.
Sleep Technician 5 [#4, #10] PSG operation technicians for sleep lab rooms and device handling.
Night Supervisor / Monitoring Staff 4 [#9, #11, #10] Staff to run supervised wakefulness centers, cover shifts, and provide overtime coverage.
Psychiatrist / Medical Officer 2 [#3, #12] Medical oversight, psychiatry visits, diagnostics, and emergency medical coordination.
Administrative Staff 2 [#19, #23] Case management, compliance, records, and committee support.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items have provided ranges that were aggregated to midpoints; clinical and personnel costs are relatively well-grounded, but civilian-expansion, long-term disability, and catastrophic outcome probabilities and magnitudes are uncertain, justifying medium confidence.
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