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SCP-8472 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-8472
Expected annual
$2.6M
One-time setup
$6.3M
Annual recurring
$2.5M
Personnel
22
Initial containment and setup require significant capital works (hangar reinforcement, vault, HVAC, remote-handling and salvage) totaling several million dollars, while ongoing annual operations are driven primarily by specialized staffing, security, and monitoring. Estimated one-time costs ~ $6.31M and recurring annual costs ~ $2.534M, with contingency and recovery missions able to spike costs in incident years.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.3M
Emergency Contingency Reserve $1.8M
[#22] Reserved emergency/rapid-response fund for containment breach, neutralization or major incident mobilization.
Decommissioning Contingent $1.1M
[#27] Contingent decommissioning/disposal/end-of-life costs (legal cleanup, controlled destruction or permanent sealing).
Facilities $965K
[#1, #3, #5] Structural hangar reinforcement and installation-related work for HVAC and vault construction (includes reinforcement, ducting/installation and vault build).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $638K
[#4, #12, #13, #15, #17, #18] Laboratory and research buildout costs including beryllium-safe lab upgrades/training (#4), portable nondestructive instrumentation purchase (#12), conservation lab equipment (#13), specialized power/thaumaturgic apparatus (#15), initial digitalization project (#17), and initial protocol/training development (#18).
Deep Sea Mission Per Mission $550K
[#21] Per-mission deep-sea ROV/ship/dive mission estimate if attempted to recover missing engine or remains (optional, per-mission cost).
Equipment $512K
[#1, #6, #14] Hardware purchases: overhead crane and load-rated transport skates (split from #1), high-security inert-gas lockers (#6), and remote-handling/robotics purchase (#14).
Salvage And Recovery $475K
[#2] Salvage/transit reimbursement and initial recovery write-off (original underwater recovery costs already incurred but accounted here).
Large Secure Move $125K
[#20] Representative single large-distance secure transport/custody move (armored transport, escorts) as a one-time potential move distinct from initial salvage (#2).
Cover Story Setup $95K
[#19] One-time cover organization setup, legal counsel and PR scaffolding to establish archaeological shell and initial permits/payment to collaborators.
Monitoring Sensor Install $50K
[#16] Long-term monitoring sensor and telemetry install (dataloggers, corrosion/strain sensors).
It And Redaction Initial $50K
[#23] Initial secure air-gapped network setup, record redaction tooling and first security audit for cognitohazardous media.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.5M/yr
Staff Wages $1.8M/yr
[#7, #8, #9, #10] Ongoing salaries & benefits: 3armed security staff (~12–16 guards), paratechnology/thaumaturgy specialists (2–4), conservation & materials staff (2–4), and medical/psych monitoring staff; aggregated here as recurring wage expense.
Cover Story And Legal $222K/yr
[#19, #23, #26] Recurring cover organization costs, legal fees, PR maintenance (#19), periodic security audits & IT isolation maintenance (#23), and insurance/financial cover/accounting overhead for the shell organization (#26).
Research And Monitoring $219K/yr
[#4, #12, #15, #17, #18, #25] Ongoing monitoring and research operations: beryllium monitoring & medical screening (#4), contracted specialized scans (#12), thaumaturgic energy provisioning operations & consumables (#15), archival maintenance/digitization access (#17), refresher training/protocol updates (#18), and amortized periodic restoration campaigns (#25).
Supplies And Consumables $152K/yr
[#7, #11, #12, #13, #24] Recurring consumables and minor equipment: security equipment/surveillance consumables (#7), PPE & decon supplies (#11), contracted high-end scan fees (#12), conservation consumables (#13), and replacement parts/spare PPE inventories (#24).
Facilities Maintenance $75K/yr
[#3, #5, #14, #16] HVAC energy & maintenance (#3), vault maintenance (#5), robotics/remote-handling maintenance (#14), and sensor servicing & data storage (#16).
Logistics And Transport $30K/yr
[#20] Routine secure transport and custody logistics (armored courier, escorts, customs/port handling for routine moves).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.5M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with scheduled maintenance, routine research, and no major incidents.
normal_operations scheduled_maintenance routine_research
🚨 Minor Incident $2.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Small containment incident or localized damage requiring repairs, extra overtime, medical evaluations and limited contractor support.
localized_damage minor_breach incompatible_personnel_exposure
🚨 Major Breach $3.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or severe personnel exposure requiring emergency mobilization, contractor remediation, extensive repairs and partial use of contingency funds.
major_breach widespread_exposure structural_damage
🚨 Deep Sea Recovery $3.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$675K vs baseline
Authorized deep-sea ROV/ship missions to recover missing engine or additional artifacts; expensive one-off operations but research-driven.
recovery_mission ROV_charter extended_ship_time
👥 Personnel 22 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 14 [#7] 24/7 armed security staffing (two-person posts per shift, roving patrols, included senior supervisor); headcount chosen within the 12–16 range used to derive guard salary estimates.
Paratech Specialist / Thaumaturgist 3 [#8] Paratech/thaumaturgy team (2–4 specialists); count chosen to reflect mid-range staffing for scheduled tests and maintenance.
Research Scientist / Conservator 3 [#9] Conservation & materials science staff including conservators, metallurgists and a technician (2–4 staff); mid-range chosen to match recurring wage pool.
Medical Officer 2 [#10] On-site occupational health nurse and RAISA clinician/psychologist for monitoring and incident response; staffing aligned with recurring medical budget.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide line-item ranges for nearly every cost, enabling midpoint-based estimates; uncertainty remains due to optional deep-sea missions, contingency sizing, and staffing configurations, so confidence is medium.
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