SCP-951 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-951
Expected annual
$1.0M
One-time setup
$226K
Annual recurring
$978K
Personnel
4
One-time startup costs are modest (~$226.5k) for a secure locker, testbench, forensic imaging, archival hardware and initial R&D; recurring annual costs (~$977.8k) are driven by staff wages, amnestic administrations, incident response reserves and covert swap/distribution operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $226K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $132K
[#10, #13] ROM production & validation development and initial amnestic research/development (Class-A) one-time R&D and setup costs.
Equipment $72K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #19] Testing bench & retro hardware testbed, forensic imaging hardware & write-protection tools, hardened storage initial ingestion, development cost for web monitoring tooling (one-time portion), and chain-of-custody database/software initial purchase.
Facilities $22K
[#1] Construction/installation of badge-access climate-controlled locker, reinforced locker, tamper sensors and CCTV tied to facility monitoring.
Program Summary Estimate $0
[#27] Program summary/reference line from analyst notes; no additional one-time cost added.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $978K/yr
Staff Wages $300K/yr
[#6, #12, #15, #16] Staff wages for human moderation/analysts, community/content staff, containment technician(s), and research scientist(s) (aggregated FTE salaries incl. benefits/overhead).
Large Scale Containment Reserve $200K/yr
[#25] Annual contingency allocation toward escalated responses (mass amnestics, buybacks, platform-level suppression planning).
Amnestic Administrations $130K/yr
[#13] Per-administration costs and ongoing production/distribution costs for Class-A amnestic treatments (assumed administration rate and per-use costs aggregated).
Incident Response Reserve $125K/yr
[#17] Annual reserve allocation for emergency containment, rapid takedowns, temporary server overprovisioning and unplanned buys.
Covert Swap Operations $52K/yr
[#8] Field operations costs (agent time, travel, chain-of-custody packaging, cover expenses) for covert cartridge swaps/retrievals.
Cover Story And Legal $45K/yr
[#7, #23] Legal takedown budget and PR/legal retainer for cover-story maintenance and contingency response.
Medical Oversight $30K/yr
[#14] Post-amnestic medical checkups, psychological support and physician-on-call / medical monitoring retainer.
Replacement Cartridge Procurement $18K/yr
[#9] Procurement and refurbishment budget for convincing non-anomalous replacement cartridges.
Web Monitoring And Hosting $15K/yr
[#5] Hosting/ops costs for automated crawlers, monitoring, false-positive filtering and alerting systems.
Cybersecurity And Ids $15K/yr
[#18] Firewalls, IDS/IPS, pentests and security services for hosting/distribution infrastructure.
Training And Opsec $12K/yr
[#22] Training for field staff and community agents in covert swap techniques, OPSEC and safe handling.
Insurance And Audit $11K/yr
[#26] Insurance premiums and internal/external audit fees.
Rom Distribution Infrastructure $6K/yr
[#11] Servers, CDN/bandwidth and covert distribution infrastructure maintenance for Foundation-sponsored ROMs.
Logistics And Transport $5K/yr
[#20] Shipping, tracked courier services, insurance for transfers between sites.
Supplies And Consumables $3K/yr
[#21] Batteries, cables, connectors, cleaning supplies, replacement small parts.
Secure Archive Backups $3K/yr
[#4] Offsite backups, maintenance and support for hardened storage and canonical clean ROM archive.
Chain Of Custody Maintenance $3K/yr
[#19] Ongoing maintenance for chain-of-custody record systems, secure audit logging and evidence storage supplies.
Archival Preservation $2K/yr
[#24] Periodic media migration, verification and technician time budgeted annually for long-term archive preservation.
Facilities Maintenance $2K/yr
[#1] Ongoing maintenance for climate control, CCTV and locker upkeep.
Research And Monitoring $1K/yr
[#10] Ongoing maintenance for ROM production/validation tooling and minor research consumables.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $978K/yr
86.0% probability / year
Normal year with ongoing monitoring, routine swaps, regular admin and maintenance; no large public outbreak.
routine monitoring occasional cartridges found and swapped normal amnestic caseload
🚨 Minor Incident $1.0M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$42K vs baseline
Localized publicity or a small upload leads to targeted takedowns, increased swaps and a handful of additional amnestic administrations.
small viral upload resistant hosts requiring legal action cluster of affected physical cartridges discovered
🚨 Major Outbreak $2.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Widespread digital propagation or viral attention requiring mass responses: heavy legal/PR engagement, mass amnestics, large-scale suppression and emergency infrastructure scale-up.
viral platform-level spread declassification or public exposure mass uploads of affected ROM images
👥 Personnel 4 total
Role Count Notes
Containment Technician 1 [#15] Responsible for logging, handling and custody of physical SCP-951-1 copies and seized items.
Research Scientist 1 [#16] Part-time software/firmware researcher handling anomaly characterization and mitigation R&D.
Analyst / Human Moderator 1 [#6] Reviews automated alerts, triages false-positives and coordinates takedowns/swap ops (0.5–1.0 FTE equivalent).
Community / Content Manager 1 [#12] Online cover/counter-narrative operations, community engagement and content seeding (0.5–1.0 FTE equivalent).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges enabling a mid-level confidence in mapping and aggregation; however wide ranges for items like amnestic R&D/administration, covert ops frequency and large-scale containment reserves create uncertainty in annualized totals, reducing confidence from high to medium.
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