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SCP-952 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-952
Expected annual
$29.4M
One-time setup
$101.9M
Annual recurring
$27.9M
Personnel
76
One-time setup and capital (facility retrofit, R&D, antimemetic device procurement, and a contingency reserve) total ~102M; recurring annual costs are ~27.85M driven primarily by staff wages, ongoing R&D/monitoring, detention operations, and PR/legal/containment operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $101.9M
Contingency Reserve $50.0M
[#24] One-time contingency reserve for large-scale outbreak response (chosen lower-bound reserve ~$50M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $38.4M
[#6, #7, #8, #9, #10, #18, #19, #28] One-time development/setup costs: countermemetic R&D seed capital (~$25M), ML development (~$800k), audio-forensics lab setup (~$500k), one-time digital integration/legal (~$500k), IT/setup (~$500k), training materials (~$125k), clinical trial one-time costs (~$10M), and intellectual-property acquisition for masters (~$1M).
Antimemetic Device Procurement $5.0M
[#4] Procurement of ~100 Type-C antimemetic storage devices at an assumed average ~$50k/device (~$5M one-time).
Facilities $3.5M
[#1] Retrofit/construct soundproof, signal-isolated containment wing (10-bed small-wing assumption ~$3.5M chosen as a mid-small national program estimate).
Venue Compensation $2.0M
[#14] Initial surge venue closures/compensation/buyouts (assumed modest multi-venue compensation pool ~$2M).
Replacement Compensation Pool $2.0M
[#22] Contingency pool for settlements/compensation to rights-holders when destroyed recordings require buyouts (~$2M baseline contingency).
Rapid Response Kit $1.0M
[#15] One-time kit and vehicles for rapid-response takedown teams (armored vehicles, kit) estimated at ~$1M.
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $27.9M/yr
Staff Wages $7.5M/yr
[#3, #8, #11, #18] Salaries and benefits for specialized security (30 agents), research staff, audio-forensics specialists, therapists, medical and admin staff (headcount breakdown in personnel).
Research And Monitoring $5.2M/yr
[#7, #9, #6, #8, #25] Ongoing countermemetic R&D effort (~$5.0M/yr baseline), ML operation/retraining (~$250k/yr), digital monitoring/forensic validation, and audio-forensics operational costs.
Cover Story And Legal $3.0M/yr
[#12, #13, #27] Public relations/discredit campaigns, legal action, NDAs, litigation defense, leak response and contractor costs to manage public narrative and legal exposure.
Long Term Detention Per Detainee $2.0M/yr
[#2] Recurring detention operations cost (assumes ~10 detainees at ~$200k/yr each => $2.0M/yr).
Clinical Production Distribution $2.0M/yr
[#10] Ongoing production/distribution costs if a countermemetic requires manufacture (~$1M–$20M/yr; baseline ~$2M/yr).
Outreach Witness Management $1.5M/yr
[#17] Screening, quarantine, debriefing, compensation and management for exposed individuals (baseline ~$1.5M/yr assumption).
Rapid Response Ops $1.0M/yr
[#15] Annual operations budget for raid teams, overtime, travel, temporary housing (~$0.5M–$5M; baseline ~$1M/yr).
Recruitment And Retention $1.0M/yr
[#26] Signing bonuses and retention incentives for niche memetics/audio specialists (~$1M/yr program).
Logistics And Transport $500K/yr
[#21, #15] Transport of staff, detainees, seized media, and raid logistics (vehicles, fuel, secure couriers).
Monitoring Of Publishing $500K/yr
[#16] Liaison contracts and incentives with labels/distributors to flag/remove SCP-952 content pre-release.
Political Foreign Liaison $500K/yr
[#23] Covert liaison/cooperation budgets for limited foreign suppression tasks (baseline modest ~$0.5M/yr).
Surveillance Program $500K/yr
[#25] Public-health-style surveillance and epidemiological tracking (~$300k–$3M/yr; baseline ~$0.5M/yr).
Community Outreach Replacement Programming $500K/yr
[#29] Funding alternative music scenes, playlists, and grants to redirect audiences (~$250k–$2M/yr; baseline ~$0.5M/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $400K/yr
[#5, #15] Consumables for media destruction, forensic disposables, medical supplies, sedatives/anesthetics for raids, and routine operational materials.
Facilities Maintenance $300K/yr
[#1, #19, #20] Ongoing maintenance of containment wing, HVAC/isolation systems, and IT backup power/infrastructure upkeep.
Physical Media Quarantine $300K/yr
[#5] Ongoing item processing (copy-to-antimemetic-device then destroy) steady-state ~$100k–$500k/yr; baseline ~$300k/yr.
Venue Audits Ongoing $200K/yr
[#14] Ongoing venue inspections and audits (~$50k–$1M/yr; baseline ~$200k/yr).
Replacement Compensation Recurring $200K/yr
[#22] Ongoing small settlements or buyouts when needed (~$200k/yr baseline).
Audit Oversight $200K/yr
[#30] Independent audit/oversight and specialist advisory board costs (~$100k–$1M/yr).
It Infrastructure Maintenance $200K/yr
[#19] Maintenance & operations for secure recordkeeping and air-gapped backups (~$50k–$500k/yr; baseline ~$200k/yr).
Training Delivery $150K/yr
[#18] Annual delivery of memetic-safety training for personnel (per-employee delivery; baseline ~$150k/yr).
Intellectual Property Archival Operations $100K/yr
[#28] Archival care and cataloging for masters in Foundation custody (~$50k–$500k/yr; baseline ~$100k/yr).
Antimemetic Device Maintenance $10K/yr
[#4] Periodic integrity checks/maintenance for ~100 Type-C devices at ~$100/device/yr => ~$10k/yr.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $27.9M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal year with steady-state containment, monitoring, and R&D activity; no significant breaches or outbreaks.
no_major_breach stable_monitoring_load no_large_viral_spread
🚨 Minor Incident $29.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized breach or festival-level exposure causing additional detentions, media processing, PR/legal surges and limited venue closures.
small_festival_exposure targeted_online_resurgence
🚨 Major Breach $47.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach across multiple venues/streams requiring major takedowns, legal action, and expanded operations.
coordinated_online_campaign multiple-venue_infections
🚨 Viral Outbreak $227.8M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Widespread uncontrolled dissemination of SCP-952 material necessitating mass quarantines, emergency mass pharmaceutical deployment, and drawing on contingency reserves.
platform-wide_resurgence global_vector_spread
👥 Personnel 76 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 30 [#3, #15] Full-time guards for containment wing, transport teams and embedded industry agents (30 agents as per analyst program assumption).
Research Scientist 10 [#9, #7] Memetics and countermemetic R&D staff and ML researchers.
Audio-Forensic Specialist 8 [#8] Audio engineers and forensic analysts for lab operations.
Therapist / Psychologist 10 [#11] Therapists for detainee and community psychological treatment.
Administrative Staff 10 [#12, #13] Admin, legal liaisons, PR coordinators, and liaison officers.
Medical Officer 4 [#10, #17] Medical oversight for trials, detainee care, and exposed individuals.
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#19, #20] Facilities and IT maintenance staff for isolation rooms, HVAC and secure servers.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst ranges but many items (R&D, countermemetic success probability, number of detainees, scale of online spread) are highly uncertain; selected mid-range assumptions produce medium confidence in totals.
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