SCP-9701 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-9701
Expected annual
$36.6M
One-time setup
$652.5M
Annual recurring
$28.8M
Personnel
50
Initial capital costs are dominated by optional lunar/intercept programs and large contingency reserves (hundreds of millions). Recurring annual costs (baseline) are ~ $28.8M/yr driven by staff wages, lunar operations/monitoring, R&D maintenance, and cover-up/legal operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $652.5M
Lunar Mission Capture Program $300.0M
[#6] One-time cost for a commercial lunar lander/interceptor capture mission (conservative planning for dedicated capture/containment mission).
Contingency Catastrophic Response Fund $200.0M
[#29] Large one-time reserve recommended for worst-case accelerated launches, emergency construction, or large-scale lunar-Earth containment.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $52.8M
[#9, #11, #12, #26] Initial R&D program and research lab buildout: reality-dampening R&D program seed, lab equipment, database/digitization, and initial software development/integration.
Facilities $50.0M
[#8] One-time construction of a hardened Earth-side containment facility (subterranean reinforced chamber, EMP shielding, environmental controls). Estimate chosen mid-range.
Satellite Constellation Purchase $25.0M
[#5] One-time build/launch for a small constellation (2–4 small/medium imaging satellites) option; alternative is recurring commercial imagery.
Equipment $22.6M
[#2, #3, #4, #10, #17, #18, #19, #20, #21, #22, #23, #24] Rapid-response vehicles and ground equipment, optional helicopter purchase/outfitting, drones, containment-chamber outfitting, cybersecurity hardware, mid-size telescope purchase, communications procurement, backup power hardware, decon upgrades, PPE procurement, specialized housing for specimen, and capture prototypes. Sum of line items mapped.
Cover Up Contingency Seed Fund $1.0M
[#13] One-time contingency fund for large-sightings payoffs, settlements, or legal contingencies.
Casualty Reserve Seed Fund $1.0M
[#27] One-time seed fund for casualty/liability reserve to be replenished as incidents occur.
Amnestic Supply Setup $100K
[#15] One-time secure pharmaceutical/amnestic supply chain setup and secure storage.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $28.8M/yr
Research And Monitoring $12.5M/yr
[#5, #7, #9, #12, #18, #26, #28] Recurring monitoring and R&D ops: commercial imagery contracts or satellite ops, lunar-asset operations, ongoing reality-dampening R&D maintenance (5–15%/yr), researcher contracts, telescope ops, data/software operations, and long-term monitoring program.
Staff Wages $6.0M/yr
[#1, #11] Salaries and loaded costs for on-call MTF field teams and a lean research team (includes security/MTF, research scientists, and small administrative staff).
Program Overhead And Contingency $3.8M/yr
[#30] Institutional overhead, audits, compliance, and contingency margin (~15% of recurring program costs).
Cover Story And Legal $2.2M/yr
[#13, #14, #16] Recurring public cover-up/media operations, PR, legal retainers, diplomatic liaison, and emergency coordination/liaison programs with local authorities.
Logistics And Transport $2.0M/yr
[#3, #25] Air support operations (charter/maintenance/flight hours) and recurring logistics, travel, and per-diem for field deployments.
Facilities Maintenance $600K/yr
[#8, #20] Ongoing maintenance for containment facility and associated energy/fuel and backup-power operating costs.
Cybersecurity Ops $500K/yr
[#17] Recurring operations and staff costs for secure servers, encrypted communications, and data protection to prevent leaks.
Supplies And Consumables $475K/yr
[#4, #15, #24] Consumables: UAV batteries/rotors, amnestic medical supply consumption, and capture consumables/tranquilizer supplies.
Waste Disposal $200K/yr
[#21] Recurring costs for high-containment waste disposal, incineration or contracted disposal services.
Casualty Fund Replenish $200K/yr
[#27] Annual replenishment/reserve contributions for casualty and liability fund as incidents occur.
Communications Bandwidth $200K/yr
[#19] Recurring satellite bandwidth and communications fees for field↔HQ↔lunar telemetry links.
Training And Memetic Safety $100K/yr
[#22] Recurring memetic safety training, PPE replacement programs, and psychological screening refreshers.
Veterinary And Husbandry $60K/yr
[#23] Recurring veterinary care, sustenance, and husbandry for captured specimen(s).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $28.8M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; annual recurring operations only.
routine_monitoring low-tempo_field_deployments
🚨 Minor Incident $29.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized sighting or media exposure requiring rapid-response, targeted amnestics, payoffs/legal actions, and extra field deployments.
localized_sighting social_media_exposure small_property_damage
🚨 Major Breach $53.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or public incident requiring broad emergency response, civil compensation, asset replacement, and sustained operations.
widespread_media_breach civilian_casualties major_operational_failure
🚨 Lunar Capture Mission $403.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$375.0M vs baseline
Decision/year in which Foundation commits to lunar interception/capture mission and purchases/launches lunar hardware and supporting assets.
strategic_decision_to_intercept confirmed_lunar_activity escalation_to_lunar_containment
👥 Personnel 50 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 32 [#1] Two MTFs of 16 personnel each (on-call field teams). Count matches payroll assumptions at ~$120k loaded per person.
Research Scientist 15 [#11] Scientific research staff (physicists, xenobiologists, cognitive scientists, folklorists); count chosen mid-range of 10–20 and matches research payroll assumptions.
Administrative Staff 3 [#11, #30] Small admin/site staff for program management, compliance, and coordination; included in staff wage total.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates combine well-understood operational costs (MTF payroll, travel) with highly uncertain, speculative capital programs (lunar missions, reality-dampening R&D, catastrophic contingency). Large ranges in analyst notes and strategic decisions produce low confidence.
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