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SCP-9831 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-9831
Expected annual
$1.5M
One-time setup
$1.9M
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
11
Initial one-time containment and mitigation hardware and retrofits are moderate but large contingency upgrades drive higher capital risk; recurring costs are dominated by specialist staff wages (security, research, medical) and ongoing research/IT/mitigation budgets, totaling roughly $1.43M/yr.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.9M
Escalation Upgrade Contingency $1.0M
[#24] Long-term worst-case facility upgrade / remote bunker / deep isolation contingency (capital; mid-range illustrative value used here).
Facilities $450K
[#1, #13] Dedicated humanoid containment chamber retrofit and site modifications to remove/write-prohibiting finishes and replace writable surfaces within 20 m (Item 1: $400,000; Item 13: $50,000).
Equipment $153K
[#2, #3, #7, #9, #10, #11, #14, #18] One-time installs and hardware: observation system installation ($50,000, #2); air-gapped server & playback hardware ($45,000, #3); portable EEG ($5,000, #7); evidence bags/tamper seals ($3,000, #9); secure cabinetry/Faraday enclosures ($25,000, #10); destruction equipment/shredders ($10,000, #11); evidence-logging IT install ($10,000, #14); initial PPE/forensic kit ($5,000, #18).
Reverse Engineering Project Personnel $115K
[#4] Personnel for defined reverse-engineering project (1 FTE for 6–12 months; mid-range estimate ~$115,000).
Contingency Reserve Seed $100K
[#16] One-time contingency/insurance seed reserve (~$100,000 recommended).
Secure Transport Vehicle $75K
[#19] Secure transport vehicle retrofit for emergency relocation and movement of anomalous media (~$75,000 one-time).
Sop Development And Initial Training $10K
[#12] Initial SOP and initial staff/guard training development (one-time ~$10,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $5K
[#4] Reverse-engineering initial tooling and license (RPGMaker MV ~$80 + tooling ~$5,000).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Staff Wages $938K/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #22] Ongoing personnel salaries & benefits: security guards (6 @ $50k + 30% benefits ≈ $390,000, #5), research staff (1 senior $150k + 2 assistants $80k each + 30% benefits ≈ $403,000, #6), medical officer fraction ~$100,000/yr (#7), administrative support 0.5–1.0 FTE pro-rated (~$45,000 used, #22).
Logistics And Transport $165K/yr
[#19, #20] Transport and rapid-response allocations: operating cost for secure transport (~$15,000/yr, #19) and fractional MTF/rapid-response allocation (~$150,000/yr, #20).
Research And Monitoring $140K/yr
[#7, #21] Ongoing research and monitoring: monitoring/mitigation research budget (~$100,000/yr, #21) plus research-grade neuroimaging usage (~$40,000/yr for scans, #7).
Cover Story And Legal $40K/yr
[#15] Legal, classification, and cover-story retainer and consulting (~$40,000/yr, #15).
Psych Services And Amnestics $35K/yr
[#8] Psychological services, screening, and amnestic treatment kit reserves (~$30,000 counseling + $5,000 kits ≈ $35,000/yr, Item 8).
Server It Support $20K/yr
[#3] IT support fraction for air-gapped server and playback system (~$20,000/yr, Item 3).
Destruction Disposal $20K/yr
[#11] Ongoing disposal/incineration budget for contaminated media (~$20,000/yr, Item 11).
Contingency Reserve Annual $20K/yr
[#16] Annual contingency/insurance budget line (~$20,000/yr, Item 16).
Animal Program $20K/yr
[#17] Small-animal testing & husbandry program (~$20,000/yr if used, Item 17).
Facilities Maintenance $11K/yr
[#10, #23] Facility utilities and climate control: secure storage climate electricity (~$600/yr, #10) and miscellaneous facility utilities/maintenance (~$10,000/yr, #23).
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#9] Controlled consumables for SCP-9831 (notebooks, approved media) at ~$500/month ≈ $6,000/yr (Item 9).
Observation System Maintenance $5K/yr
[#2] Maintenance for the specialized non-storage observation system (~$5,000/yr, Item 2).
Training Refresher $5K/yr
[#12] Annual refresher training and drills (~$5,000/yr, Item 12).
Server Power And Maintenance $3K/yr
[#3] Electricity and basic maintenance for air-gapped server (~$3,000/yr, Item 3).
Evidence Ppe Consumables $2K/yr
[#18] Consumable PPE and forensic supplies (~$2,000/yr, Item 18).
Evidence It Maintenance $2K/yr
[#14] Maintenance for specialized evidence-logging IT (~$1,500/yr, Item 14).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
79.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; ongoing personnel, research, maintenance, and consumables costs only.
routine operations scheduled research and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Localized contamination or single-exposure event requiring targeted amnestic use, extra disposal, short-term overtime, and counseling.
single personnel/media exposure targeted destruction/disposal and medical response
🚨 Major Breach $1.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Significant breach or contamination event requiring emergency relocation, large-scale medical response, investigative research and legal action, and equipment replacement.
containment failure multiple exposures or damaged media
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $2.4M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Severe, long-term escalation requiring major capital upgrades (remote bunker/relocation), extended MTF deployment, and large legal/medical liabilities.
major uncontrolled spread change in SCP behavior requiring hardening
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#5] 24/7 guard coverage with relief and leave accounted for (~6 on-site guards used in wage estimate).
Research Scientist 3 [#6] 1 senior researcher + 2 assistants dedicated to containment/research (salaries included in staff_wages).
Medical Officer 1 [#7] Part-time site physician/neurospecialist fraction (counted as 1 head on staff; salary fraction included in staff_wages).
Administrative Staff 1 [#22] Scheduling, records and chain-of-custody management (0.5–1.0 FTE; pro-rated into staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item estimates are provided by analyst notes with concrete figures for many categories, but uncertainty remains around project durations, incident probabilities, and the scale/cost of worst-case escalations, so medium confidence is appropriate.
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