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SCP-9901 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-9901
Expected annual
$29.0M
One-time setup
$24.4M
Annual recurring
$28.1M
Personnel
38
Initial setup for a moderate monitoring program is roughly $24.35M one-time driven by facilities, advanced R&D, sensor procurement and an initial satellite retainer. Annual operations are roughly $28.09M/yr driven primarily by satellite imagery/UAV ISR, local contractors, staffing, SIGINT and ongoing R&D/analysis.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $24.4M
Advanced Sensor Rnd Funding $8.0M
[#24] Multi-year specialized sensor R&D program (forensic-grade synchronized arrays and bespoke sensors).
Contingency Reserve $4.0M
[#27] Initial quick-response reserve fund for escalation, bribes, emergency extractions, rapid increased surveillance.
Equipment $3.5M
[#2, #4, #6, #7, #9, #10, #11] Radar hardware deploy, initial on-prem storage hardware, per-team field equipment, armored vehicle procurement, covert comms hardware, per-node recording deployments, multi-sensor arrays (aggregated).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.5M
[#10, #23] Initial R&D for redundant/hardened recording systems and initial scientific research program / lab buildout and instrumentation.
Facilities $3.0M
[#3] Central Operations & Analysis Center buildout (hardened facility, secure rooms, server room, physical security upgrades).
Satellite Retainer $2.0M
[#1] Initial retainer for commercial SAR/optical satellite tasking and priority access.
Medevac Setup $200K
[#18] One-time setup costs to establish medevac/air evacuation agreements and initial insurance premiums.
Legal Retainer $150K
[#14] One-off legal/diplomatic retainer for foreign operations and cover-story preparation.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $28.1M/yr
Satellite Imagery Subscription $5.0M/yr
[#1] Annual tasking/subscription costs for near-real-time commercial SAR/optical imagery and provider priority access.
Uav Leasing And Isr $4.5M/yr
[#13] Leasing/operating persistent ISR UAVs or chartered ISR flights for multiple theatres.
Staff Wages $3.5M/yr
[#5, #30] Salaries and benefits for field surveillance teams and core program staff (program managers, analysts, engineers).
Local Security Contractors $3.0M/yr
[#8] Local contractor costs for close protection, route security and liaison per theatre (aggregated for program scale).
Family Hush Payments $2.0M/yr
[#16] Aggregate contingency for family handling, hush payments and forensic/legal handling per year.
Research And Monitoring $1.8M/yr
[#21, #23] Ongoing data analysis/AI development and maintenance plus continuing scientific research program funding.
Cover Story And Legal $1.5M/yr
[#14, #15] Ongoing legal/diplomatic operations plus covert communications/disinformation/PR campaigns to provide cover stories.
Sigint Collection And Staff $1.5M/yr
[#12] SIGINT/ELINT/ESM equipment operation and analysts per major theatre.
Facilities Maintenance $1.0M/yr
[#3] Operations of Central Operations & Analysis Center (utilities, non-staff security ops, EMCON measures).
Intelligence Liaison $900K/yr
[#19] Salaries/allowances and cover logistics for liaison officers embedded with local militaries.
Evacuation Medical Contracts $600K/yr
[#18] Medevac standby contracts, emergency extraction, insurance premiums and emergency medical readiness.
Supplies And Consumables $540K/yr
[#6, #25] Field consumables and replacement budget (batteries, storage media, spare parts) and per-team consumables/replacements.
Radar Data Feeds $500K/yr
[#2] Recurring data feeds, licensing and remote deployments for radar/ RF monitoring per theatre.
Logistics And Transport $450K/yr
[#7, #17] Vehicle operating costs (fuel, maintenance) and travel/lodging/per diem for deployed teams.
Red Team Opsec $300K/yr
[#22] OPSEC/counter-intelligence staffing and exercises to test for leaks and run deception operations.
Insurance And Indemnity $300K/yr
[#26] Liability policies, indemnities for contractors and legal reserve for investigations/lawsuits.
Storage Cloud Costs $200K/yr
[#4] Cloud redundancy, long-term storage costs and maintenance for multi-sensor archives.
Airtime And Data $150K/yr
[#9] Satellite airtime, VSAT/ uplink subscriptions and encrypted field communications data plans.
Training And Specialists $150K/yr
[#20] Training programs, cultural/linguistic specialists and deployment-specific specialist costs.
Archive And Retention $100K/yr
[#28] Long-term archival storage and compliance costs for case files, sensor data and preserved materials.
Psychological Support $100K/yr
[#29] Ongoing counseling, debriefing and recovery support for field staff.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $28.1M/yr
75.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with scheduled monitoring, routine maintenance and no major incidents.
no major incidents planned operations only
🚨 Minor Incident $29.1M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized equipment losses or small-scale operational incidents requiring replacements, medevac and limited legal/forensic responses.
equipment failure in-theatre single-team casualty or extraction small legal/forensic payout
🚨 Major Breach $38.1M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant operational loss: multiple teams compromised, major diplomatic exposure or extended large-scale extractions and legal fallout.
multi-team compromise diplomatic blowback large-scale recovery/extraction
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $35.1M/yr
7.0% probability / year +$7.0M vs baseline
A promising signal or partial capture prompts accelerated R&D and scaling of sensor arrays and deployments.
promising anomalous signature decision to accelerate specialized sensor deployment
👥 Personnel 38 total
Role Count Notes
Field Surveillance Team Member 18 [#5] Rotational field operators per target (6 per team × 3 targets assumed).
Research Scientist 4 [#23] Scientific research program staff for laboratory analysis and experiments.
Data Analyst / ML Engineer 5 [#21] Data processing, anomaly detection and AI tooling development/maintenance.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 [#3, #30] Site and mission security oversight staff.
Medical Officer 2 [#18, #5] Medical support for field teams and medevac coordination.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#4, #7] Hardware, storage and vehicle maintenance staff.
Administrative Staff 2 [#14, #30] Admin, legal liaison and program support.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#30] Senior program manager / site director oversight.
Intelligence Liaison Officer 1 [#19] Embedded liaison with local militaries / foreign contacts.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items are drawn from analyst-provided ranges and mapped explicitly; however large variance in theatre count, vendor pricing for imagery/ISR, and technical uncertainty for R&D produce moderate confidence in point estimates.
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